What’s going on here?

Global markets are gearing up for a pivotal week as tech giants prepare to release earnings amid dynamic shifts in economic data and currency strength worldwide.

What does this mean?

The easing of yields has provided some relief to global equities, helping currencies like the yen and euro recover against the dollar. Focus is shifting to earnings from tech giants Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft, along with a crucial US payroll report. Fears of a possible second Trump presidency are strengthening the dollar and Treasury yields due to potential tariffs and taxes.

Solid US economic data have diminished hopes for imminent Fed rate cuts, supporting the dollar and yields. While Tesla’s earnings brought some optimism to Wall Street, the Dow still faces challenges reflecting broader concerns. At the same time, Japan’s Nikkei dropped, influenced by a stronger yen and upcoming election uncertainties.

Why should I care?

For markets: Earnings in focus as economic crosswinds blow.

Investors are watching upcoming earnings from big tech players, which could steer market sentiment. Europe’s markets are slightly down, with STOXX indexes set for weekly losses due to regional events like Germany's Ifo surveys and key company earnings. Moreover, the MSCI world equity index is breaking its two-week winning streak, with a predicted 1.2% decline.

The bigger picture: Economic shifts ripple across borders.

At the IMF-World Bank meetings, Japanese officials warned about yen speculation, hinting at possible future interventions. Meanwhile, discussions from the BoE Governor could shape market expectations further. As Europe watches key data and the US handles political and economic shifts, these global dynamics suggest a potentially volatile market landscape in the weeks ahead.